UK CO2 Storage Forecast

In 2016, Pale Blue Dot Energy completed a UK CO2 storage appraisal project for DECC. Shortly after completing the project, Sam Gomersall presented the results in the form of a Shipping Forecast. To mark the 150th anniversary of the Shipping Forecast (24/08/2017) we are delighted to share it once again.

Storage efficiency in %, capacity in MT, latest appraisal date, potential trend

Sam Gomersall, Pale Blue Dot Energy

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP

And now here is the UK CO2 Storage forecast for all areas, issued at 1400 UTC on Tuesday 20th

September by the ETI

General synopsis – high storage in many areas, 2016, increasing to the North and East. Low North of Biscay, significant uncertainty as to how this will develop

  • Viking, North Utsira, South Utsira:

Depleted Gas, 78%, 130, 2016, rising

  • Forties:

Aquifer without structural closure 6%, 300, 2016, rising slowly

  • Cromarty:

Aquifer with structural closure 3%, 60, 2016, rising

  • Forth, Tyne, Dogger, Fisher, German Bight:

No storage evaluated, moderate unproven, 2016, no data

  • Humber

Aquifer with structural closure, 19%, 280, 2016, multiple targets

  • Thames:

Depleted Gas, 70%, 200, 2011, some uncertainty

  • Dover, Wight, Portland, Plymouth, Biscay, Trafalgar, Fitzroy, Sole, Lundy, Fastnet:

No storage potential, poor, clear, 2016, high uncertainty

  • Irish Sea:

Depleted gas, 70%, 125, 2016, good to excellent

  • Shannon, Rockall:

Irish collaboration, possible, unproven 2012, some uncertainty

  • Malin, Hebrides, Bailey, Fair Isle, Faeroes, SE Iceland:

No storage evaluated, moderate to poor, very expensive, 2016, becoming possible later w of Shetland

Inland waters note

  • Land’s End – St David’s Head incorporating the Bristol Channel:

likelihood of large earth movements which may affect local sea state and onshore navigational markers for the next eight years (dependent on continuing government policy)

Written by Pale Blue Dot Energy

Management Consultants for the Energy Transition, delivering support in three key areas: 1. Carbon Capture and Storage 2. Oil and Gas Transition 3. Emerging Energy Systems