UK CO2 Storage Forecast

In 2016, Pale Blue Dot Energy completed a UK CO2 storage appraisal project for DECC. Shortly after completing the project, Sam Gomersall presented the results in the form of a Shipping Forecast. To mark the 150th anniversary of the Shipping Forecast (24/08/2017) we are delighted to share it once again.

Storage efficiency in %, capacity in MT, latest appraisal date, potential trend

Sam Gomersall, Pale Blue Dot Energy

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP

And now here is the UK CO2 Storage forecast for all areas, issued at 1400 UTC on Tuesday 20th

September by the ETI

General synopsis – high storage in many areas, 2016, increasing to the North and East. Low North of Biscay, significant uncertainty as to how this will develop

  • Viking, North Utsira, South Utsira:

Depleted Gas, 78%, 130, 2016, rising

  • Forties:

Aquifer without structural closure 6%, 300, 2016, rising slowly

  • Cromarty:

Aquifer with structural closure 3%, 60, 2016, rising

  • Forth, Tyne, Dogger, Fisher, German Bight:

No storage evaluated, moderate unproven, 2016, no data

  • Humber

Aquifer with structural closure, 19%, 280, 2016, multiple targets

  • Thames:

Depleted Gas, 70%, 200, 2011, some uncertainty

  • Dover, Wight, Portland, Plymouth, Biscay, Trafalgar, Fitzroy, Sole, Lundy, Fastnet:

No storage potential, poor, clear, 2016, high uncertainty

  • Irish Sea:

Depleted gas, 70%, 125, 2016, good to excellent

  • Shannon, Rockall:

Irish collaboration, possible, unproven 2012, some uncertainty

  • Malin, Hebrides, Bailey, Fair Isle, Faeroes, SE Iceland:

No storage evaluated, moderate to poor, very expensive, 2016, becoming possible later w of Shetland

Inland waters note

  • Land’s End – St David’s Head incorporating the Bristol Channel:

likelihood of large earth movements which may affect local sea state and onshore navigational markers for the next eight years (dependent on continuing government policy)